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NBA Rookie Report - Week 7

By Carl Dispoto on Saturday, 12th December 2009

Rookie ReportSenior Writer, Carl Dispoto, is back again for this week’s run-down and break-down of this year’s rookie class.

As always, rankings are meant to reflect players’ values for the remainder of the season and not value thus far.

(All positions are based on Yahoo! eligibility.)

Should be Owned in All Leagues

milBrandon Jennings (PG, Milwaukee Bucks): Jennings is no longer head and shoulders above the rest of the rookie class, shooting just 35 percent from the floor and scoring “only” 17.1 points per game in his last nine. But he’s still leading all rookies in scoring (21.1), 3-pointers (2.2) and assists (5.8) with no hint of a decrease in minutes or opportunities. He is a sure bet to retain value for the rest of the season.

The potential long-awaited return of Michael Redd should actually help relieve some of the offensive burden and make Jennings a more efficient player.

sacTyreke Evans (PG/SG, Sacramento Kings): The most valuable fantasy rookie for the past month, Evans has produced Top 40 value in his past eight games, averaging 21.9 points, 5.6 assists, 5.5 rebounds and 1.6 steals in his last eight games.

The return of Kevin Martin from a wrist injury should take some shots away from Evans, but owners shouldn’t be worried. He’s a star in the making.

gswStephen Curry (PG/SG, Golden State Warriors): The case can be made that Curry is just as valuable as Jennings and Evans, even though he scores much less. He leads all rookies with 1.7 steals per game, shoots 80 percent from the line, makes a little more than one 3-pointer per game and adds 4.9 assists.

Curry is contributing in the conventional point guard categories and playing nearly 40 minutes per game on one of the league’s most productive fantasy teams. His value is rock solid.

mintJonny Flynn (PG/SG, Minnesota Timberwolves): Flynn has had plenty of ups-and-downs already this season. Expect them to continue. Still, the Timberwolves are dedicated to their point guard of the future and he’s averaged 14.9 points, 1.4 3-pointers, 6.0 assists and 1.1 steals in his last eight games.

If you can deal with the bumps in the road – and every rookie has them – Flynn will remain a very productive fantasy point guard.

lacBlake Griffin (SF/PF, Los Angeles Clippers): He is still about a month away but should be one of the five best rookies once he returns from a knee injury. Blake Griffin has a ton of potential and it’s just a matter of “when” not “if”.

okcJames Harden (PG/SG, Oklahoma City Thunder): Harden has solidified his place as the offensive sparkplug off the bench for the Thunder. His minutes are steadily increasing and he averaged 12.2 points, 1.0 3-pointer, 4.8 rebounds and 1.2 steals in his past five games.

Harden will have some great games and other times he will be invisible. Check the point totals from his last nine games: 24, 25, 10, 10, 15, 5, 9, 6, 26. Much like Flynn, it will be a bumpy ride that should be worthwhile in the end.

dennTy Lawson (PG/SG, Denver Nuggets): Lawson remains productive in the 20 minutes or so per game he’s been getting over the past month. That indicates that he is certainly NBA-ready. He’s averaging 15.0 points, 5.7 assists, 1.2 3-pointers and 1.4 steals per 36 minutes.

But the opportunities still aren’t there yet. If you can stash him as a handicap to Chauncey Billups and J.R. Smith, he’s worth holding onto. Bigger minutes could turn into big production.

sac1Omri Casspi (SF/PF, Sacramento Kings): It’s been established that Casspi can shoot. He’s averaging 1.6 3-pointers in his last seven games and 1.2 this season and making more than 50 percent of his shots overall. But he has yet to establish any other skill. Still, a good FG% and lots of 3-pointers provide value in plenty of leagues.

But he’ll have to adjust once Martin returns to eat up about 20 shot attempts per game.

torDeMar DeRozan (SG/SF/PF, Toronto Raptors): DeRozan has started to show flashes of promise, scoring in double figures in four consecutive games last week, including a season-high 21-point effort. Despite his athleticism, he’s still not providing any defensive stats and his rebounding is marginal.

DeRozan is worth keeping an eye on, especially if the struggling Raptors decide to shake things up.

Best Left for Deep Leagues

nohMarcus Thornton (PG/SG, New Orleans Hornets): Thornton is still getting more than 20 minutes per game since the return of Chris Paul and he’s averaging 2.6 3-pointers per 36 minutes. He’s their second sharpshooter behind Peja Stojakovic, who is always a step away from an injury.

Thornton doesn’t provide much else besides 3-pointers and some steals and his percentages are poor (.443/.688) but he can provide an offensive lift for teams in deep leagues that need 3-pointers.

chibTaj Gibson (SF/PG, Chicago Bulls): For all the flashes of talent Gibson has shown, he’s still only producing 10.6 points and 6.1 rebounds in 26 minutes per game in his last seven. Even though he’s blocking about one shot per game, those aren’t valuable fantasy numbers. Tyrus Thomas may still be two weeks away, but Gibson is further from that from being relevant in standard leagues.

hourChase Budinger (SF/PF, Houston Rockets): Budinger’s playing time remains steady but he’s a one-trick pony. When his shot is on, he’ll reign 3-pointers in bunches. When he’s off his game, Chase doesn’t provide much else for owners on the stat sheet.

saDeJuan Blair (SF/PF, San Antonio Spurs): Same old story. Monster production in very limited minutes. On a bad team, he would be getting 30 minutes per game and averaging 15 points and 12 boards. But he can only do so much in 14.4 minutes per contest.

nohDarren Collison (PG/SG, New Orleans Hornets): Collison has not played more than 15 minutes in three games since Chris Paul returned from injury. Unless you’re willing to bet Paul gets hurt again, Collison will not be fantasy relevant again this season.

njTerrence Williams (SG/SF/PF, New Jersey Nets): As if his poor play weren’t bad enough, now Williams is in the Nets’ doghouse for negative Tweets regarding the team’s poor start. The Nets are so bad he may eventually get more minutes again, but he’s been so inefficient (.340 FG%/.658 FT%) that he’d probably do more harm to your fantasy team than good.

On the Radar

indpTyler Hansbrough (SF/PF, Indiana Pacers): Posted a double-double in the Pacers first game without Danny Granger, although he got additional minutes when Roy Hibbert got hurt. Hansbrough could be in line for a larger role as Indiana tries to sort itself out.

Worth Consideration:

detpJonas Jerebko (SF/PF, Detroit Pistons): It remains to be seen how Jerebko will perform once Rip Hamilton and Tayshaun Prince are healthy. But the Pistons claim he will continue to get minutes. Jerebko has averaged 12.8 points, 1.0 3-pointer and 7.6 rebounds with great percentages (.525/.800) in his last eight games.

Already people are talking that he may have been the steal of the NBA Draft. Perhaps he can be the rookie steal off the waiver wire as well.


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