Although it’s been less than a week since the last Rookie Report, the Thanksgiving holiday is necessitating an early post. Still, a few players have played their way onto the list despite the short time frame.
As always, rankings are meant to reflect players’ values for the remainder of the season and not value thusfar.
(All positions based on Yahoo! eligibility.)
Brandon Jennings (PG, Milwaukee Bucks): Although previously unthinkable, Jennings is in a small slump. Since the last Rookie Report, he’s only been the fifth-best rookie in eight-category leagues, according to Basketball Monster.
Much of this “decline” has come from Jennings’ sagging percentages. He’s shooting 39 percent from the floor and 76 percent from the line in his last four games, which dropped him behind some other rookies who have been far more efficient.
But there is a reason he’s still at the top of the list.
Despite his shooting woes, Jennings still averaged 20.3 points, 1.3 3-pointers, 6.0 assists, 4.3 rebounds and 1.3 steals during that stretch. For the season, he still leads all rookies in scoring (24.2 points per game), 3-pointers (2.3) and assists (5.7).
Michael Redd returned from a knee injury this week, but it might actually help Jennings to have another scorer in the backcourt. It will take the pressure off him to take every shot and may lead to more assists.
One thing is clear: the Bucks are sticking with Jennings for the remainder of the season and he will remain the engine of his team’s offense. That’s something none of the rookies on this list can say.
Stephen Curry (PG/SG, Golden State Warriors): While Monta Ellis certainly makes the Warriors offense go, Curry has become a major component to a team that is woefully shorthanded.
Curry averaged 38 minutes in his last three games as Golden State needed every healthy body it could get. He produced 13.7 points, 1.7 3-pointers, 5.7 rebounds, 6.3 assists, 1.7 steals and 1.0 block per game.
While spending most of the season’s first few weeks with a great FG% and shaky FT%, Curry shot just 38 percent from the line but made 89 percent of his free throws in that span. We’re still finding out what kind of shooter he is, but a.410 FG% and an .850 FT% are likely to be where he winds up.
Unless the Warriors pull off a trade, Curry will be the team’s point guard from here on out. He’s going to provide plenty of 3-pointers, steals and assists, which is exactly what you want from a fantasy point guard.
The biggest concern is Curry hitting the wall due to the heavy minutes he has already played. But the return of C.J. Watson this week and the impending season debut of Andris Biedrins should lighten the burden.
Tyreke Evans (PG/SG, Sacramento Kings): Evans has been – by far – the most productive fantasy rookie over the past week.
In fact, he’s been one of the 10 best fantasy players overall, averaging 25.3 points, 1.0 3-pointer, 7.3 rebounds, 7.0 assists and 1.3 steals while shooting 53 percent from the floor and 85 percent from the line in three games.
Even more impressive: he missed one game with a sprained finger and was a game-time decision on Wednesday due to a bum ankle. All he did was nearly pull a triple-double on the Knicks with 19 points, 11 rebounds, seven assists and two steals.
It was the Knicks but that’s still very impressive.
The reason Evans doesn’t land higher on the Rookie Report are three-fold.
First: his dominant week came on a shooting percentage he can’t possible maintain. He was shooting less than 41 percent from the floor entering the game and that’s more or less where he’ll end up at season’s end.
Second: he’s played 40 minutes per game in that stretch, which has allowed him to boost his numbers. He can’t maintain those minutes for the rest of the season.
Third: Kevin Martin will return in about a month and should take plenty of those scoring opportunities away from Evans.
Still, Evans has established himself. He is and will remain a firm part of the Kings rotation and looks like a star in the making.
James Harden (PG/SG, Oklahoma City Thunder): Harden jumped three spots in this week’s Rookie Report. He contributed in multiple categories against excellent opponents and has seen his minutes begin to rise as he begins to learn his role on the team.
After scoring a season-high 24 points right before last week’s Rookie Report was posted, Harden added 25 points with four 3-pointers and four steals against the Wizards.
Harden followed his scoring binge with a pair of uneven road games against two tough defensive teams in the Lakers and Jazz. He scored 20 points in the two games with one 3-pointer, seven assists and three steals.
More importantly, after playing more than 20 minutes just twice in his first 12 games, Harden has played 20 minutes or more in each of his last four. The team is starting to rely on him as a presence off the bench, which will only provide more opportunities to remain a fantasy asset.
Blake Griffin (SF/PF, Los Angeles Clippers): Griffin continues to slowly rise on this list despite not playing a game this season. That’s because which each passing week he gets closer to a mid-December return from a fractured kneecap. And you’d probably rather have 50 games of Griffin than 65 of the remaining rookies on this list.
He’ll probably jump ahead of Harden next week.
Jonny Flynn (PG/SG, Minnesota Timberwolves): Flynn has shown himself to be a little erratic. He followed a four-game stretch where he scored only 39 points combined by dropping 37 in his last two.
The Timberwolves continue to show faith in Flynn as he’s still averaging nearly 30 minutes per game. His assists (3.3 per game) and 3-pointers (0.6) are little low for a fantasy point guard but he’s shown enough promise to believe he can improve those numbers.
Ty Lawson (PG/SG, Denver Nuggets): Lawson’s value has plummeted but he’s still getting consistent minutes for the Nuggets. He continues to take high-percentage shots (.527 FG%) and chip in some assists, steals and 3-pointers.
It wouldn’t be unwise to stash Lawson on your bench. His per minute numbers indicate if an injury led to more playing time, he would be a fantastic fantasy point guard.
Marcus Thornton (PG/SG, New Orleans Hornets): Thornton is the first on the Rookie Report this season that is a complete surprise. He was a mid-second round pick and not even expected to make an impact this season. Funny how a small thing like an injury to Chris Paul can change things.
Thornton averaged 18.2 points per game from November 13-22 and had 45 points in two games before managing just four points and struggling with foul trouble against the Bucks on Wednesday.
With 14 3-pointers in his last eight games, Thornton has emerged as long-range threat that can score in bunches. His .466 FG% is better than most 3-point threats and he’s been averaging better than a steal per game for the past few weeks.
Thornton won’t contribute across the board and it’s too early to tell how Paul’s eventual return will effect his playing time but he remains a solid play for the next few weeks, at least.
Darren Collison (PG/SG, New Orleans Hornets): Collison has actually been better than Thornton since Paul’s injury and he’ll likely be better until Paul returns.
But Collison is essentially a poor man’s Chris Paul: a small, quick point guard who can penetrate and pass. Once Paul returns, there won’t be much need for Collison, who will probably see about 15 minutes per game.
Thornton, on the other hand, with his 3-point ability, can continue to play along side Paul for the remainder of the season. Plus the high probability of an injury to Peja Stojakovic would make Thornton the team’s number one long-range threat.
Collison has averaged 16.5 points, 1.0 3-pointer, 7.5 assists, 4.8 rebounds and 0.8 steals in the past week. He should maintain that type of production until Paul returns.
One more problem: no one knows when Paul is coming back. Could be next week, could be January. That kind of uncertainty makes Collison a calculated risk, though one who could pay off big time.
Omri Casspi (SF/PF, Sacramento Kings): After a solid start to the season, Casspi seemed to lose his role with the Kings only to post three straight double-digit scoring games in the past week.
Casspi – the league’s first Israeli player – has made at least one 3-pointer in four straight games and is shooting better than 50 percent from the floor this season.
His performances will be uneven until Martin returns and his role will be uncertain afterwards. But he remains intriguing option, especially for small-ball head-to-head teams looking for a power forward that can shoot.
Terrence Williams (SG/SF/PG, New Jersey Nets): Williams’ minutes have begun to drop as the Nets get healthier, but he still leads all rookies in rebounds (5.8 per game) and double-doubles (4).
Williams has also shown some improvement in his offensive efficiency but is still shooting 36 percent from the floor and 66 percent from the line. With those percentages, he’ll need to produce Ben Wallace-type rebounding to be a fantasy force.
Missed the cut:
Taj Gibson (SF/PG, Chicago Bulls): Gibson averaged 9.0 rebounds, 1.0 steal and 2.0 blocks in just two games this week. But his percentages are awful and Tyrus Thomas could be back in two weeks to provide the Bulls with rebounds, steals, blocks and awful percentages.
Chase Budinger (SF/PF, Houston Rockets): Keeping himself marginally relevant by burying 1.3 3-pointers per game. But that’s all he does.
Eric Maynor (PG/SG, Utah Jazz): Deron Williams is back and Maynor is back to playing less than 20 minutes per game. Still, he showed he can play if given the chance.
DeMar DeRozan (SG/SF/PF, Toronto Raptors): Does a little of everything but none of it especially well.
Tyler Hansborough (SF/PF, Indiana Pacers): Averaging 6.8 points, 4.8 rebounds and nearly a steal and a block per game in his last four. But with Troy Murphy and Jeff Foster back, his role will be limited.
DeJuan Blair (SF/PF, San Antonio Spurs): Only here since he’s been on every Rookie Report thusfar. Still, he’s getting only around 10 minutes per game now. He may still provide some rebounds later this season, but he’s no guarantee to be a fantasy asset at any point.
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